The Opta supercomputer has simulated this year’s Club World Cup finals a whopping 10,000 times, with results indicating that European sides should dominate the 32-club competition (14 June-13 July).
Juventus feature in the top 10 teams most likely to win the expanded FIFA Club World Cup. The Bianconeri have been given a tough task in their group phase, but are given a 87.4% chance of progressing by the supercomputer.
Juve will kick-off their 2025 Club World Cup campaign against Al-Ain FC on 18 June. Al-Ain FC qualified by winning the AFC Champions League, and boast 14 UAE Pro League titles.
Moroccan side Wydad AC, the CAF Champions League winners, are Juve’s next opponents on 22 June. Defending champions Manchester City are Juve’s final round-robin game on 26 June.
Only the top two teams from each group will progress to the last 16 knockout stages, with Juve and Manchester City heavy favorites. Manchester City are rated 71.3% to win their group by the supercomputer, with the Bianconeri trailing at 27.1%.
PSG pip Manchester City
Yet Manchester City have not finished top in all of the supercomputer predictions. They are rated second to Paris Saint-Germain, the recently crowned Champions League winners, as the club most likely to win the Club World Cup.
The French outfit finished with a 18.5% chance to lift the trophy on 13 July in New Jersey, pipping the Premier League side who were rated at 17.8% to be crowned champions.
This is despite the fact that Manchester City were unstoppable at the last Club World Cup finals two years ago, conceding just twice and thumping Fluminense 4-0 in the final.
That victory earned head coach Pep Guardiola a record-breaking fourth Club World Cup success. The Spaniard has also won the tournament with Barcelona (2009 and 2011) and Bayern Munich (2013).
German giants Bayern Munich (12.8%), Inter Milan (12.3%), five-time Club World Cup winners Real Madrid (9.8%) and Chelsea (8.4%) complete the ‘big six’.
Top 10 teams
The top 10 according to the supercomputer includes Atletico Madrid, Benfica, Borussia Dortmund and Juventus.
Borussia Dortmund (5.4%) are the highest rated team outside the ‘big six’, having finished as runner-up and quarter-finalists in their past two Champions League campaigns. The supercomputer predicts a 61.1% chance to reach the last eight.
Atletico Madrid (5.1%), Juventus (3.6%) and Benfica (3.3%) feature among the 10 most likely winning teams.
The star-studded sides of Al-Hilal and Inter Miami failed to make the top 10. Saudi Pro League’s Al-Hilal recently appointed Juve managerial target Simone Inzaghi, while superstar Lionel Messi will turn out for MLS titans Inter Miami.
2025 FIFA Club World Cup schedule
Club World Cup group games (14 June-26 June)
14 June
Group A | Al -Ahly vs. Inter Miami, 8pm ET (Miami)
15 June
Group C | Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City, 12pm ET (Cincinnati)
Group B | Paris Saint-Germain vs. Atletico Madrid, 3pm ET (Pasadena, California)
Group A | SE Palmeiras vs. FC Porto, 6pm ET (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
Group B | Botafogo vs. Seattle Sounders, 10pm ET (Seattle)
16 June
Group D | Chelsea vs. Club America or LAFC, 3pm ET (Atlanta)
Group C | Boca Juniors vs. Benfica, 6pm ET (Miami)
Group D | Flamengo vs. Esperance de Tunis, 9pm ET (Philadelphia)
17 June
Group F | Fluminense vs. Borussia Dortmund, 12pm ET (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
Group E | River Plate vs. Urawa Red Diamonds, 3pm ET (Seattle)
Group F | Ulsan HD vs. Mamelodi Sundowns, 6pm ET (Orlando, Florida)
Group E | Monterrey vs. Inter Milan, 9pm ET (Pasadena, California)
18 June
Group G | Manchester City vs. Wydad AC, 12pm ET (Philadelphia)
Group H | Real Madrid vs. Al-Hilal, 3pm ET (Miami)
Group H | Pachuca vs. FC Salzburg, 6pm ET (Cincinnati)
Group G | Al-Ain vs. Juventus, 9pm (Washington, D.C.)
19 June
Group A | Palmeiras vs. Al-Ahly, 12pm ET, (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
Group A | Inter Miami vs. Porto, 3pm ET, (Atlanta)
Group B | Seattle Sounders vs. Atletico Madrid, 6pm ET (Seattle)
Group B | Paris Saint-Germain vs. Botafogo, 9pm ET (Pasadena, California)
20 June
Group C | Benfica vs. Auckland City, 12pm ET (Orlando, Florida)
Group D | Flamengo vs. Chelsea, 2pm ET (Philadelphia)
Group D | Club America or LAFC vs. Esperance de Tunis, 6pm ET (Nashville, Tennessee)
Group C | Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors, 9pm ET (Miami)
21 June
Group F | Mamelodi Sundowns vs. Borussia Dortmund, 12pm ET (Cincinnati)
Group E | Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds, 3pm ET (Seattle)
Group F | Fluminense vs. Ulsan HD, 6pm ET (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
Group E | River Plate vs. Monterrey, 9pm ET (Pasadena, California)
22 June
Group G | Juventus vs. Wydad AC, 12pm ET (Philadelphia)
Group H | Real Madrid vs. Pachuca, 3pm ET (Charlotte, North Carolina)
Group H | FC Salzburg vs. Al-Hilal, 6pm ET (Washington, D.C.)
Group G | Manchester City vs. Al-Ain, 9pm ET (Atlanta)
23 June
Group B | Atletico Madrid vs. Botafogo, 3pm ET (Pasadena, California)
Group B | Seattle Sounders vs. Paris Saint-Germain, 3pm ET (Seattle)
Group A | Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras, 9pm ET (Miami)
Group A | Porto vs. Al-Ahly, 9pm ET (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
24 June
Group C | Benfica vs. Bayern Munich, 3pm ET (Charlotte)
Group C | Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors, 3pm ET (Nashville)
Group D | Esperance de Tunis vs. Chelsea, 9pm ET (Philadelphia)
Group D | Club America or LAFC vs. Flamengo, 9pm ET (Orlando)
25 June
Group F | Borussia Dortmund vs. Ulsan HD, 3pm ET (Cincinnati)
Group F | Mamelodi Sundowns vs. Fluminense, 3pm ET (Miami)
Group E | Inter Milan vs. River Plate, 9pm ET (Seattle)
Group E | Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Monterrey, 9pm ET (Pasadena)
26 June
Group G | Wydad AC vs. Al-Ain, 3pm ET (Washington)
Group G | Juventus vs. Manchester City, 3pm ET (Orlando)
Group H | Al-Hilal vs. Pachuca, 9pm ET (Nashville)
Group H | FC Salzburg vs. Real Madrid, 9pm ET (Philadelphia)
Club World Cup Round of 16 (28 June-1 July)
28 June
Match 49 | Group A winner vs. Group B runner-up (Philadelphia)
Match 50 | Group C winner vs. Group D runner-up (Charlotte)
29 June
Match 51 | Group B winner vs. Group A runner-up (Atlanta)
Match 52 | Group D winner vs. Group C runner-up (Miami)
30 June
Match 53 | Group E winner vs. Group F runner-up (Charlotte)
Match 54 | Group G winner vs. Group H runner-up (Orlando)
1 July
Match 55 | Group F winner vs. Group E runner-up (Atlanta)
Match 56 | Group H winner vs. Group G runner-up (Miami)
Club World Cup quarter-finals (4-5 July)
4 July
Match 57 | Match 49 winner vs. Match 50 winner (Philadelphia)
Match 58 | Match 53 winner vs. Match 54 winner (Orlando)
5 July
Match 59 | Match 51 winner vs. Match 52 winner (Atlanta)
Match 60 | Match 55 winner vs. Match 56 winner (East Rutherford)
Club World Cup semi-finals (8-9 July)
8 July
Match 61 | Match 57 winner vs. Match 58 winner (East Rutherford)
9 July
Match 62 | Match 59 winner vs. Match 60 winner (East Rutherford)
Club World Cup final (13 July)
13 July
Match 63 | Match 61 winner vs. Match 62 winner (East Rutherford)